Aug 17, 2020
Aug 17, 2020

Dillian Whyte vs. Alexander Povetkin betting preview

A close look at the Whyte vs. Povetkin odds

Will bettors see a knockout win?

Inform your Whyte vs. Povetkin predictions

Dillian Whyte vs. Alexander Povetkin betting preview

Dillian Whyte and Alexander Povetkin will finally meet behind closed doors on August 22 in the grounds of Matchroom boxing’s headquarters, as both fighters go in search of a world title shot in 2021. Looking for value in the Whyte vs. Povetkin odds? Read on to inform your Whyte vs. Povetkin predictions.

Whyte vs. Povetkin: Tale of the tape

Dillian Whyte

Fighter

Alexander Povetkin

32

Age

40


6 ft 4 

Height


6 ft 2


Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

78″/198cm

Reach


75″/191cm

A close look at the Whyte vs. Povetkin odds

The 1X2 odds suggest Whyte is the heavy favourite, with an implied win percentage of nearly 75%*.

The Total Rounds is set at 10.5, with over 10.5 rounds priced at 1.73*, which suggests there is around a 60% chance that the fight will last that long.

Whyte vs. Povetkin betting: What can bettors expect?

Povetkin will start the fight as an outsider in the betting, but with his experience and high-level skillset, the Russian can still be dangerous even at the age of 40. Povetkin has 35 professional wins, two defeats and one draw, and is a former Olympic gold medallist that only been defeated as a professional by Wladimir Klitschko and Anthony Joshua.

He is fast approaching the end of his career, but he does still carry knockout power especially in the left hook, which has been his trademark shot ever since he turned professional. A knockout percentage of 63% while competing at the top-end of the sport for over a decade suggests he is still a danger to anyone in the division.

Povetkin displayed a lot of signs of slowing down when he boxed on the Andy Ruiz vs. Anthony Joshua undercard last December against Michael Hunter.

Whyte starts the fight as a heavy betting favourite and a large part of his price factors the age gap between the pair. The 32-year-old fighter from London is entering his prime years as a heavyweight whereas Povetkin has already peaked.

The key to victory for Whyte will be to not get over-anxious and look to do too much too soon, as Povetkin will be extremely dangerous in the first half of the fight. The Brixton man will need to keep his distance, use the jab methodically and take advantage of his longer arms before stepping on the gas in the second half.

Povetkin displayed a lot of signs of slowing down when he boxed on the Andy Ruiz vs. Anthony Joshua undercard last December against Michael Hunter. That was the last time that the Russian was in the ring, so he will need to produce a significantly better performance to be in with a chance of defying the odds and overcoming Whyte.

Whyte vs. Povetkin: How will the styles gel?

Povetkin’s professional success has come from what was an extremely impressive career as an amateur, and he will enter the fight as the more polished fighter in terms of skillset. The 40-year-old has won gold at the European Games in 2002 and 2004 and World Championships in 2003 as well as an Olympic gold medal at the Athens 2004 Games.

An interesting factor in the fight is also that both fighter’s best punch is their left hook, so we could see some big exchanges.

Whyte will bring a more rugged approach but a potential advantage for the Londoner is that in recent fights he has boxed fighters with a similar style to Povetkin. The likes of Oscar Rivas and Derek Chisora all hold a similar pressure fighting style to the Russian and maintain similar dimensions.

However, the key difference between Rivas and Chisora and Povetkin is that the former two are quite predictable in their attack, whereas Povetkin can be very crafty, most notably feinting on the setup of his attack to try and vary his approach and land his signature big left hook. Dillian Whyte has been hurt in multiple fights as a professional, so it shouldn’t be a surprise to see him stunned against Povetkin.

An interesting factor in the fight is also that both fighter’s best punch is their left hook, so we could see some big exchanges with both Whyte and Povetkin trying to leverage a knockout punch and create drama along the way.

Whyte vs Povetkin betting: Where is the value?

Whyte will come into the fight off the back of a rather uninspiring performance, beating Mariusz Wach in Saudi Arabia last December on the undercard of Anthony Joshua’s rematch win over Andy Ruiz Jr. Povetkin (who was also on that same card) managed a draw in an exciting all-action fight against the experienced American Michael Hunter, so neither man comes into the fight on the top of their game.

Both have lost to Anthony Joshua, so there is a potential yardstick there for bettors to gauge, as they were both defeated in a very similar fashion. However, it is worth noting that Whyte is a vastly improved fighter since that defeat, whereas Povetkin’s performances have stayed on the same level or arguably even declined slightly.

Whyte cannot afford another off night, as although Povetkin is coming to the backend of his career he is still experienced, and can hit hard enough to seriously trouble the Brit. Whyte is likely to go with the approach of making the fight ugly to start off in the first six rounds by leaning on Povetkin and imposing his physicality to wear him down. He knows Povetkin is a better boxer, meaning he will then likely step on the gas in the second half to either force a late stoppage or record a points victory, in what what should be a great battle between two big punching heavyweights.

Looking forward to Whyte vs. Povetkin? Make sure to check out Pinnacle's predictions for all the other bouts on the night.

Odds subject to change

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