Sep 7, 2018
Sep 7, 2018

# The benefits of using Floor Impact Counter in the NBA

## Using Floor Impact Counter to bet on the NBA

When betting on basketball, it’s important to analyse not only the teams competing in a game but also the individual players. Floor Impact Counter (FIC) is one metric that provides insight into player performance. What is FIC and how can bettors use it to their advantage? Read on to find out.

### The birth of Floor Impact Counter

Before the 2006-07 NBA season kicked off we saw the then 19-year-old Andrea Bargnani enter the league from Italy and join the Toronto Raptors. At that point, almost all critics in the media were worried that the league was going to go through a major change.

By the end of that season, Brandon Roy was named ROY (Rookie of the Year) after some amazing performances and Toronto made it to the playoffs as the third seed out of the Eastern Conference. This season also happens to be the year one of my peers (Chris Reina) decided to come up with a different way of analysing player impact.

This article is about the advanced statistic measure he created called Floor Impact Counter (FIC). It will provide you with a clear idea about how FIC is calculated, how it is used by analysts when looking at the NBA and its players on a game-by-game basis or collective level and its impact on NBA betting.

By definition, FIC is a formula that encompasses all aspects of the box score into a single statistic. The intent of the statistic is similar to other efficiency stats, but assists, shot creation and offensive rebounding are given greater value.

How to calculate Floor Impact Counter

(Points + ORB. + 0.75 DRB + AST + STL + BLK –0.75 FGA – 0.375 FTA – TO – 0.5 PF)

This formula can also be adjusted to fit per 40 minutes if needed.

### How Floor Impact Counter is used in the NBA

Since the 2006-07 NBA analysts have been making use of FIC and FIC40 to check how effective players have been in terms of their overall game while being placed in specific line-ups.

This metric is also used to analyse offensive and defensive output against various opponents as well as how certain positions such as Guards, Forwards and Centers, or position-less players, are more effective based on cumulative statistics throughout their careers.

When drawing certain conclusions based on this statistic here are some interesting results:

• LeBron James (LBJ) has been a top five FIC player over the last 12 years with exception of the 2014-15 season when he ended up 9th overall on the list.

• In a more classical approach, LBJ is the only SF that has been consistent and has appeared a total of six times as the #1 FIC player in the NBA over the last 12 years.

• Among the top five players listed in the last 12 years, a player that potentially has an eFG% (effective field goal percentage) of 53% has a strong FIC outcome and is in a consistent winning lineup within their respective team and makes their roster much better.

• Since 2007 as scoring and offensive systems in the NBA have evolved to much more outside and mid-range shooting, players such as Tim Duncan have been replaced by the likes of Karl Anthony Towns (KAT) and Anthony Davis (big men that can shoot the outside shot much more efficiently) in FIC rankings.

• From the trend that the FIC statistics have shown over the last 12 years since its inception in 2007; players who can cause mismatches and force slower players to step away from just guarding big men will carry a major advantage.

Coaches across the league from Stan Van Gundy to Dwayne Casey, from Eric Spoelstra to Coach Pop (Greg Popovic) have all made use of the FIC statistic thanks to their offensive coordinators utilising it much more commonly.

The NBA is the biggest basketball league in the world and the fact that it is constantly evolving and incorporating data-informed changes every season shows how important these performance metrics can be. The current camera system installed in almost every arena is now able to track player movement so counting their effective moves has become much more prevalent in the league.

### Using Floor Impact Counter to bet on the NBA

When taking into account that a singular statistic (FIC) that encompasses so much can be used in combination with the modern-day solutions available across the league, it should make things easier for those that are using it to bet on games, correct? Well, the answer might seem simple but it’s not that easy as you really need to know what to look for and what to consider.

Some of the key points while incorporating betting outcomes and how stats really fit in would be as follows:

• Rosters and scorers on the respective teams need to be correctly correlated while incorporating FIC.

• The top FIC player on the roster does not necessarily stay the best night in night out.

• Playing time and the opponents faced across the 82 game schedule are always critical points to consider.

For those interested in the data, the table below shows the top five players in each season from the 2006-07 season until last season (2017-18). It should be noted that FlC can drastically impact how players are seen in terms of eFG% (effective Field Goal Percentages), Ortg (Offensive Ratings) and DRtg (Defensive Ratings).

## Top five NBA players 2006-07 to 2017-18

 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC Kevin Garnett MIN 0.48 109.6 100.6 1519.5 Tim Duncan SAS 0.547 111.5 94.6 1429 Steve Nash PHX 0.613 123.8 109.7 1401.9 Jason Kidd NJN 0.475 111.1 103.1 1398.8 LeBron James CLE 0.507 111.6 100.6 1383.1 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC Chris Paul NOP 0.524 124.9 103.8 1678.2 LeBron James CLE 0.518 116.7 103.8 1627.1 Dwight Howard ORL 0.599 113.1 99 1528.6 Kobe Bryant LAL 0.503 115 105.2 1450 Amar'e Stoudemire PHX 0.592 124,4 105.3 1429.4 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC LeBron James CLE 0.53 121.6 99.4 1801.2 Chris Paul NOP 0.528 124.5 103.4 1734.5 Dwyane Wade MIA 0.516 115.2 105.1 1620.4 Dwight Howard ORL 0.572 113.5 94.8 1520.1 Pau Gasol LAL 0.567 125.7 105.6 1404.1 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC LeBron James CLE 0.545 121.3 102.1 1787.9 Dwight Howard ORL 0.612 113.4 95.8 1483.5 Kevin Durant OKC 0.514 117.8 103.9 1470 David Lee NYK 0.545 115.9 108.5 1444 Dwyane Wade MIA 0.5 113.5 103.4 1337.5 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC LeBron James MIA 0.542 116.3 101.9 1574.4 Dwight Howard ORL 0.593 112.7 94.4 1550.2 Kevin Love MIN 0.513 123.3 107.8 1463.9 Pau Gasol LAL 0.53 123.3 103.4 1441.2 Blake Griffin LAC 0.508 111.2 107.2 1432.6 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC LeBron James MIA 0.554 118.2 98.3 1301.5 Kevin Durant OKC 0.547 114.3 101.7 1176.1 Chris Paul LAC 0.521 126.2 104.7 1082.8 Blake Griffin LAC 0.55 113 104.4 1074 Pau Gasol LAL 0.504 112.1 102.9 1056.1 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC LeBron James MIA 0.603 124.7 101.4 1767.2 Kevin Durant OKC 0.559 122.2 100.9 1659 Russell Westbrook OKC 0.47 110.6 103.8 1293.4 James Harden HOU 0.504 116.1 106.6 1275 Kobe Bryant LAL 0.504 112.1 108.1 1269.8 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC Kevin Durant OKC 0.56 122.5 104.1 1723.1 Kevin Love MIN 0.524 120 104.2 1656.1 LeBron James MIA 0.61 120.9 105 1576.9 Stephen Curry GSW 0.566 116.9 104 1385.2 Blake Griffin LAC 0.533 114.5 103.6 1369.2 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC Chris Paul LAC 0.545 125.6 105.3 1578.6 James Harden HOU 0.511 118.5 102.9 1522.5 Stephen Curry GSW 0.594 122 101.3 1507.6 DeAndre Jordan LAC 0.711 126.1 98.8 1481.1 Anthony Davis NOP 0.536 122.3 100.2 1432.6 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC Stephen Curry GSW 0.63 124.7 102.8 1734.5 Russell Westbrook OKC 0.489 115.5 103.2 1660.9 James Harden HOU 0.512 115 108.3 1554.4 LeBron James CLE 0.551 116.5 102.3 1471.9 Kevin Durant OKC 0.573 121.7 104.2 1456 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC Russell Westbrook OKC 0.476 112 104 1949.8 James Harden HOU 0.525 118.1 107.7 1892.1 Karl-Anthony Towns MIN 0.576 120.6 109.9 1667.2 LeBron James CLE 0.594 119.6 108.6 1663.9 Anthony Davis NOP 0.518 112.2 101.2 1587.4 Player Team eFG% ORtg DRtg FIC LeBron James CLE 0.59 118.3 109.2 1942.4 Anthony Davis NOP 0.552 119.1 101.9 1700.5 Russell Westbrook OKC 0.477 108.8 104.7 1697.5 Karl-Anthony Towns MIN 0.596 126.7 107.5 1608.2 Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL 0.545 116.4 107.1 1563.4
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