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2014 World Cup Group C betting review
2014 World Cup Group C final table
| Nation | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| Greece | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| Cote d’Ivoire | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| Japan | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Colombia qualified from the group in emphatic style, winning all of their games. Their qualification wasn’t a major surprise as odds of 1.278 gave them an implied probability of 78.25% to reach the knockout stages.
The main surprise of the group came from runners-up Greece, who qualified with a last minute win against the Ivory Coast on matchday three. The Greeks’ odds of qualification were 3.420 – an implied probability of 29.24%. Which suggests that they were the least likely team to qualify from the group.
2014 World Cup Group C pre-tournament implied probability table
| Position | Nation | Odds | Implied probability | Actual finishing position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 1.278 | 78.25% | 1 |
| 2 | Japan | 2.070 | 48.31% | 4 |
| 3 | Cote d’Ivoire | 2.160 | 46.30% | 3 |
| 4 | Greece | 3.420 | 29.24% | 2 |
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Colombia progress as expected
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